Bitcoin Rally: Bear Market Rebound or False Hope?
Generally, I Think Bitcoin Is kinda confusing right now.
Basically, It saw a pretty big jump, almost 20% this week, after that nasty dip at the end of 2025.
Normally, The price now circles the 365‑day moving average, that line sitting around $101,000, and I’m wondering if it’s finally breaking free.
Actually, CryptoQuant folks say the rally might be just a flash, not a real turn‑around.
Usually, Past cycles taught us that breaking that long‑term MA is tough, and the market has a habit of snapping back.
Bitcoin’s Recent Price Surge
Apparently, Even with the price rise, demand stays flat, I notice.
Sometimes, CryptoQuant’s report shows a tiny uptick, but spot demand still shrinks.
Basically, The Coinbase price premium went positive for a blink, hinting at US buyers stepping in, yet it slipped back to neutral fast.
Often, It feels like the buying pressure is just a whisper, not a shout.
Demand Conditions Remain Weak
Normally, Spot Bitcoin ETFs haven’t sparked a big comeback.
Generally, After dumping 54,000 BTC in November 2025, they only paused their net selling during the recent bounce.
Usually, In early 2026 they grabbed about 3,800 BTC – about the same as last year.
Actually, That level is far below what analysts expect for a real bull‑market lift.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs Show No Strong Recovery
Sometimes, The broader demand picture looks shaky.
Apparently, Over the past month spot demand fell by roughly 67,000 BTC and has been negative since late November 2025.
Generally, Without more buyers stepping up, the rally could fizzle out quick.
Declining Spot Demand Raises Concerns
Often, I’ve also seen exchange inflows surge to 39,000 BTC on a seven‑day average.
Usually, History shows that when more coins move to exchanges, sellers get ready.
Basically, That could mean more downside coming, even if the price looks bright now.
Increased Exchange Flows Signal Potential Selling Pressure
Actually, In my view the rally feels more like a flicker than a flame.
Sometimes, Demand stays weak, ETFs are idle, and exchange inflows hint at selling pressure.
Generally, Analysts tell us to stay alert – without a solid break above the 365‑day MA, the rally might hit trouble soon.
Normally, Do your own research and tread carefully.
