Negative Social Sentiment Hits October Lows
XRP is currently facing a surge of negative sentiment on social media, reaching levels not seen since October. Despite this wave of pessimism, historical data suggests that such extreme negative sentiment could actually be a bullish signal for Ripple’s price.
Price Decline vs. Institutional Demand
The price of XRP has dropped by approximately 31% over the last two months, even as institutional demand for its new spot ETFs remains strong. This contrast between market sentiment and institutional interest is striking.
Social Analytics Reveal Record‑High FUD
According to data from the social analytics platform Santiment, the level of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) surrounding XRP on platforms like X, Reddit, and Telegram has reached its highest point since October. Historically, such extreme pessimism has often preceded short‑term price increases for the token. For instance, on November 21 a similar sentiment spike was observed, and XRP’s price jumped 22% over the next three days.
On‑Chain and Institutional Signals Remain Positive
The XRP Ledger’s Velocity metric—measuring how frequently the token changes hands—has hit a yearly high, indicating a significant increase in economic activity and liquidity on the network. Additionally, U.S. spot XRP ETFs have recorded net inflows for 13 consecutive trading days since their launch in mid‑November, attracting nearly $900 million in total. These funds have outperformed their Bitcoin and Ethereum counterparts over the same period.
Technical Outlook
Analysts are watching a key resistance level around $2.28. A sustained break above this price could open the path toward $2.75. Currently, XRP trades around $2.09, having fallen over 4% in the past 24 hours and nearly 8% over the last month. Some observers note similarities to the 2016‑2017 setup that preceded XRP’s historic bull run. Momentum indicators such as the Stochastic RSI on weekly charts sit in oversold territory—a condition that has sometimes marked the end of recent downturns.
Valuation Gap
Despite the current negative sentiment, XRP is trading more than 40% below its all‑time high of $3.65, set in July 2025. Whether the sentiment acts as a contrarian catalyst or merely reflects deeper issues remains to be seen.
Conclusion
While the prevailing negative mood around XRP may seem concerning, historical patterns and strong on‑chain plus institutional signals suggest this could be a potential turning point for Ripple’s price.
